Hydrogen Combustion Engines: Delayed or Dead on Arrival?
Guidehouse Insights has released a comprehensive report examining the global outlook for internal combustion engines (ICE) that run on hydrogen. The full report, featuring 43 charts that track the H2 ICE market, is available for $3,950. Alternatively, you can read an excerpt from the author's perspective below.
**Hydrogen ICE Study: Not a Stellar Solution**
Beyond niche applications in North America, a lenient regulatory landscape in Europe, and India's push for energy self-sufficiency, the concept of using gaseous or liquid hydrogen for commercial transport appears to have limited prospects.
The transportation sector is expected to see only moderate adoption of hydrogen-powered internal combustion engines over the next ten years. (Image: Guidehouse Insights)
"At best, it's a distraction," stated Oliver Dixon, a co-author of the 43-page report. He believes that battery-electric trucks, despite ongoing concerns about their driving range, are poised to be the primary replacements for diesel engines in the coming decades.
"Battery technology still has room for improvement. We're in a bit of a zero-sum situation here. As battery trucks become more readily available in the short term, their market acceptance increases," Dixon explained. He drew a parallel to 15 years ago when selective catalytic reduction became the standard OEM solution for reducing carbon dioxide emissions, noting that Navistar International suffered significant losses for persisting with exhaust gas recirculation in its MaxxForce trucks.
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